13F
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Confluence Wealth Services, Inc.

13F equity value
$2.6B
Positions
365
Top 10 concentration
47.9%
Quarters / total new picks
16 / 200
13F equity value over time
$0M$1B$3B202120222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Not significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it anyway. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 16 quarters, returned +1.6% per quarter — versus +3.3% per quarter from simply owning every 13F stock. It beat that baseline in only 43.8% of quarters (excess t = 0.43, not statistically significant). Its filings tell you what it bought — not what you should buy.

Avg 2Q excess
+0.8%
t-stat
0.43
Quarterly win rate
44%
Annualized excess
-7.7%
$1 → follow vs universe
$1.22 vs $1.61
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20220331: universe 1.07420220630: universe 0.99520220930: universe 1.06820221231: universe 0.99220230331: universe 1.04620230630: universe 1.00820230930: universe 1.14420231231: universe 1.19620240331: universe 1.22220240630: universe 1.33320240930: universe 1.32220241231: universe 1.23420250331: universe 1.34520250630: universe 1.38720250930: universe 1.56020251231: universe 1.614 20220331: follow 0.95520220630: follow 0.84120220930: follow 0.84220221231: follow 0.77020230331: follow 0.80620230630: follow 0.73120230930: follow 0.83920231231: follow 0.89320240331: follow 0.86120240630: follow 0.94120240930: follow 0.95020241231: follow 0.95820250331: follow 1.03020250630: follow 1.07920250930: follow 1.26520251231: follow 1.215 0.67 1.21 1.74 2022202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 365 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
CGDV $257M
10.0%
ADD
VIG $176M
6.8%
ADD
IWF $135M
5.3%
ADD
JEPI $134M
5.2%
ADD
VYMI $128M
5.0%
HOLD
DFIV $94M
3.6%
ADD
JCPB $86M
3.3%
ADD
PYLD $78M
3.0%
ADD
DFAS $74M
2.9%
ADD
CGDG $74M
2.9%
ADD
DGRO $74M
2.9%
HOLD
EFA $62M
2.4%
ADD
DFAX $60M
2.3%
HOLD
CGXU $58M
2.3%
ADD
CGGR $47M
1.8%
ADD
AAPL $42M
1.6%
HOLD
CGCP $37M
1.5%
ADD
XOM $31M
1.2%
ADD
CGMU $30M
1.2%
HOLD
DFAT $29M
1.1%
ADD

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.