13F
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SEMPER AUGUSTUS INVESTMENTS GROUP LLC

13F equity value
$837M
Positions
44
Top 10 concentration
79.8%
Quarters / total new picks
18 / 30
13F equity value over time
$0M$435M$870M2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Not significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it anyway. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 18 quarters, returned +9.4% per quarter — versus +4.3% per quarter from simply owning every 13F stock. It beat that baseline in only 72.2% of quarters (excess t = 0.95, not statistically significant). Its filings tell you what it bought — not what you should buy.

Avg 2Q excess
+4.3%
t-stat
0.95
Quarterly win rate
72%
Annualized excess
+21.1%
$1 → follow vs universe
$4.34 vs $2.06
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20180630: universe 0.92120180930: universe 0.96320190331: universe 0.94720190930: universe 1.01820200331: universe 1.22720200630: universe 1.35620201231: universe 1.41820210331: universe 1.43020210630: universe 1.54520210930: universe 1.38620220930: universe 1.48920231231: universe 1.55620240331: universe 1.59120240630: universe 1.73520240930: universe 1.72120250630: universe 1.77520250930: universe 1.99520251231: universe 2.064 20180630: follow 1.15620180930: follow 1.22020190331: follow 1.33520190930: follow 1.43920200331: follow 1.78320200630: follow 1.88420201231: follow 2.32620210331: follow 2.14420210630: follow 2.11320210930: follow 2.12720220930: follow 2.33320231231: follow 2.65920240331: follow 2.55820240630: follow 3.44820240930: follow 3.70320250630: follow 2.90420250930: follow 3.30320251231: follow 4.344 0.85 2.77 4.69 20182019202020212022202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 44 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
BRK/B $121M
14.5%
HOLD
BRK/A $83M
10.0%
HOLD
DG $77M
9.2%
TRIM
DECK $66M
7.9%
ADD
ALK $62M
7.4%
ADD
OLN $60M
7.2%
ADD
DLTR $56M
6.7%
HOLD
NEM $52M
6.2%
TRIM
KGC $46M
5.5%
TRIM
FIVE $44M
5.3%
TRIM
SBUX $23M
2.7%
ADD
DINO $23M
2.7%
HOLD
CMI $21M
2.5%
HOLD
BLDR $19M
2.2%
NEW
DIS $15M
1.8%
ADD
VLO $11M
1.3%
TRIM
XOM $10M
1.2%
HOLD
EQNR $7M
0.9%
TRIM
PSKY $6M
0.7%
HOLD
TRV $6M
0.7%
HOLD

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.