13F
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MFN Partners Management, LP

13F equity value
$4.8B
Positions
10
Top 10 concentration
100.0%
Quarters / total new picks
11 / 30
13F equity value over time
$0M$3B$5B201820192020202120222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Not significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it anyway. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 11 quarters, returned +4.3% per quarter — versus +5.1% per quarter from simply owning every 13F stock. It beat that baseline in only 27.3% of quarters (excess t = -0.08, not statistically significant). Its filings tell you what it bought — not what you should buy.

Avg 2Q excess
-0.3%
t-stat
-0.08
Quarterly win rate
27%
Annualized excess
-4.3%
$1 → follow vs universe
$1.48 vs $1.64
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20190331: universe 0.98320200331: universe 1.18520200630: universe 1.30920200930: universe 1.60520210331: universe 1.61920210630: universe 1.74920211231: universe 1.48820220331: universe 1.59820220930: universe 1.71720230630: universe 1.65520240930: universe 1.641 20190331: follow 0.97320200331: follow 1.13720200630: follow 1.19320200930: follow 1.39220210331: follow 1.33720210630: follow 1.43820211231: follow 1.57620220331: follow 1.68820220930: follow 1.93020230630: follow 1.96320240930: follow 1.484 0.89 1.51 2.12 201920202021202220232024 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 9 holdings of 10 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
XPO $2.2B
46.6%
HOLD
TLN $958M
20.1%
HOLD
QXO $455M
9.5%
TRIM
RXO $411M
8.6%
HOLD
PFSI $396M
8.3%
HOLD
OXY/WS $244M
5.1%
HOLD
BHC $32M
0.7%
HOLD
IE $30M
0.6%
HOLD
KRSP $25M
0.5%
NEW

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

None.

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.