13F
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Great Waters Wealth Management

13F equity value
$945M
Positions
121
Top 10 concentration
87.2%
Quarters / total new picks
12 / 46
13F equity value over time
$0M$472M$945M20222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Not significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it anyway. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 12 quarters, returned +8.5% per quarter — versus +4.3% per quarter from simply owning every 13F stock. It beat that baseline in only 75.0% of quarters (excess t = 1.78, not statistically significant). Its filings tell you what it bought — not what you should buy.

Avg 2Q excess
+7.0%
t-stat
1.78
Quarterly win rate
75%
Annualized excess
+18.8%
$1 → follow vs universe
$2.54 vs $1.63
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20230331: universe 1.05420230630: universe 1.01620230930: universe 1.15320231231: universe 1.20520240331: universe 1.23220240630: universe 1.34420240930: universe 1.33220241231: universe 1.24320250331: universe 1.35520250630: universe 1.39820250930: universe 1.57220251231: universe 1.626 20230331: follow 1.02320230630: follow 0.99920230930: follow 1.06120231231: follow 1.15620240331: follow 1.21820240630: follow 1.34720240930: follow 1.39920241231: follow 1.39920250331: follow 1.36220250630: follow 1.60220250930: follow 2.14220251231: follow 2.535 0.92 1.83 2.74 202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 121 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
DFUS $200M
21.1%
ADD
DFAX $166M
17.6%
HOLD
DFCF $147M
15.5%
ADD
DFSD $85M
9.0%
ADD
DFAS $78M
8.3%
ADD
DFAT $53M
5.6%
ADD
BND $30M
3.2%
TRIM
DFGR $24M
2.5%
ADD
DFIC $22M
2.3%
TRIM
IWM $19M
2.0%
TRIM
DFAC $11M
1.2%
TRIM
DFAE $8M
0.9%
TRIM
AAPL $8M
0.8%
HOLD
NVDA $6M
0.6%
TRIM
UNH $5M
0.5%
ADD
HON $4M
0.4%
HOLD
MMM $4M
0.4%
HOLD
VTEB $3M
0.3%
ADD
DCI $3M
0.3%
HOLD
SCHD $2M
0.3%
HOLD

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.