13F
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Forest Avenue Capital Management LP

13F equity value
$1.6B
Positions
25
Top 10 concentration
68.7%
Quarters / total new picks
12 / 73
13F equity value over time
$0M$791M$2B20222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Not significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it anyway. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 12 quarters, returned +4.4% per quarter — versus +4.3% per quarter from simply owning every 13F stock. It beat that baseline in only 58.3% of quarters (excess t = 0.00, not statistically significant). Its filings tell you what it bought — not what you should buy.

Avg 2Q excess
-0.0%
t-stat
0.00
Quarterly win rate
58%
Annualized excess
-1.4%
$1 → follow vs universe
$1.57 vs $1.63
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20230331: universe 1.05420230630: universe 1.01620230930: universe 1.15320231231: universe 1.20520240331: universe 1.23220240630: universe 1.34420240930: universe 1.33220241231: universe 1.24320250331: universe 1.35520250630: universe 1.39820250930: universe 1.57220251231: universe 1.626 20230331: follow 1.12020230630: follow 1.16520230930: follow 1.37120231231: follow 1.48520240331: follow 1.35120240630: follow 1.26020240930: follow 1.34020241231: follow 1.21520250331: follow 1.24720250630: follow 1.12320250930: follow 1.36120251231: follow 1.570 0.92 1.34 1.76 202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 25 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
VST $195M
12.3%
ADD
VIK $150M
9.5%
TRIM
CRS $148M
9.3%
TRIM
QXO $90M
5.7%
ADD
CNM $89M
5.7%
TRIM
PARR $89M
5.6%
ADD
MTZ $87M
5.5%
TRIM
ECG $84M
5.3%
NEW
WWD $79M
5.0%
TRIM
SGI $75M
4.7%
ADD
BTU $54M
3.4%
ADD
LNG $49M
3.1%
NEW
RRX $45M
2.8%
NEW
AGX $41M
2.6%
TRIM
CEG $37M
2.4%
NEW
NCLH $37M
2.3%
NEW
LEG $37M
2.3%
ADD
VG $32M
2.0%
NEW
AR $32M
2.0%
NEW
HII $31M
2.0%
NEW

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.