13F
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Avalon Trust Co

13F equity value
$1.5B
Positions
460
Top 10 concentration
53.4%
Quarters / total new picks
11 / 450
13F equity value over time
$0M$773M$2B2023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Negative Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 11 quarters, returned +1.2% per quarter versus +4.2% from simply owning every 13F stock — it beat that baseline in only 36.4% of quarters (excess t = -2.54). Copying it would have systematically underperformed the simplest possible strategy.

Avg 2Q excess
-6.4%
t-stat
-2.54
Quarterly win rate
36%
Annualized excess
-14.1%
$1 → follow vs universe
$1.08 vs $1.54
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20230630: universe 0.96420230930: universe 1.09420231231: universe 1.14320240331: universe 1.16920240630: universe 1.27520240930: universe 1.26420241231: universe 1.18020250331: universe 1.28620250630: universe 1.32720250930: universe 1.49220251231: universe 1.543 20230630: follow 0.81720230930: follow 0.86920231231: follow 0.92320240331: follow 0.89320240630: follow 1.07620240930: follow 0.98320241231: follow 0.96020250331: follow 0.98320250630: follow 1.02120250930: follow 1.10020251231: follow 1.084 0.75 1.21 1.67 202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 460 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
NVDA $127M
8.7%
HOLD
AAPL $106M
7.3%
HOLD
GOOG $98M
6.7%
TRIM
AVGO $92M
6.3%
TRIM
MSFT $88M
6.0%
ADD
AMZN $77M
5.3%
HOLD
JMTG $68M
4.7%
HOLD
V $53M
3.7%
ADD
BRK/B $33M
2.3%
HOLD
PWR $33M
2.3%
TRIM
BE $32M
2.2%
TRIM
LOW $30M
2.1%
HOLD
PPH $28M
1.9%
HOLD
NFLX $26M
1.8%
ADD
PNC $26M
1.8%
HOLD
PGR $24M
1.6%
HOLD
CMS $23M
1.6%
HOLD
LIN $22M
1.6%
HOLD
USFD $22M
1.5%
ADD
RMD $21M
1.5%
ADD

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.