13F
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ARMSTRONG ADVISORY GROUP, INC

13F equity value
$1.5B
Positions
958
Top 10 concentration
61.8%
Quarters / total new picks
10 / 336
13F equity value over time
$0M$745M$1B20222023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 10 quarters, returned +6.4% per quarter versus +4.0% from owning every 13F stock, beating that baseline in 70.0% of quarters (excess t = 2.07, statistically significant). Caveat: across all 5,072 funds we tested, past performance shows near-zero persistence (rank correlation −0.018) — with thousands of funds, some will look significant by chance alone.

Avg 2Q excess
+4.5%
t-stat
2.07
Quarterly win rate
70%
Annualized excess
+10.6%
$1 → follow vs universe
$1.81 vs $1.46
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20230331: universe 1.05420230630: universe 1.01620230930: universe 1.15320231231: universe 1.20520240630: universe 1.31420240930: universe 1.30320241231: universe 1.21620250630: universe 1.25420250930: universe 1.41020251231: universe 1.459 20230331: follow 1.01520230630: follow 0.99120230930: follow 1.10920231231: follow 1.15320240630: follow 1.31320240930: follow 1.31820241231: follow 1.27920250630: follow 1.36120250930: follow 1.59620251231: follow 1.813 0.91 1.44 1.96 202320242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 958 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
IVV $277M
18.6%
ADD
IEI $129M
8.6%
ADD
VBIL $93M
6.2%
ADD
SCHP $91M
6.1%
ADD
VGT $89M
6.0%
TRIM
SCHK $78M
5.2%
HOLD
BND $62M
4.2%
TRIM
VGSH $39M
2.6%
ADD
VOX $34M
2.3%
HOLD
VHT $32M
2.1%
TRIM
XLY $31M
2.1%
TRIM
EWZ $28M
1.9%
TRIM
XLI $25M
1.7%
TRIM
SPY $23M
1.5%
HOLD
SPHQ $22M
1.5%
ADD
RSP $22M
1.5%
ADD
AAPL $20M
1.3%
TRIM
SPYV $18M
1.2%
NEW
XLF $17M
1.2%
TRIM
XLP $16M
1.1%
TRIM

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.