13F
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Absolute Gestao de Investimentos Ltda.

13F equity value
$875M
Positions
70
Top 10 concentration
69.4%
Quarters / total new picks
8 / 91
13F equity value over time
$0M$477M$953M2023202420252026

"13F equity value" = market value of this filer's US-listed long equity positions only. It excludes cash, bonds, non-US and short positions, so it understates a fund's true assets under management — often by a lot.

Significant Verdict

13F holdings are disclosed ~45 days after quarter-end, and they never reveal when within the quarter a fund actually bought. So any 13F-based summary is structurally late and blurred — this applies to every fund, including this one.

We backtested copying it. Buying this fund's new positions the day each filing went public, over 8 quarters, returned +11.9% per quarter versus +4.0% from owning every 13F stock, beating that baseline in 87.5% of quarters (excess t = 2.14, statistically significant). Caveat: across all 5,072 funds we tested, past performance shows near-zero persistence (rank correlation −0.018) — with thousands of funds, some will look significant by chance alone.

Avg 2Q excess
+9.2%
t-stat
2.14
Quarterly win rate
88%
Annualized excess
+38.0%
$1 → follow vs universe
$2.38 vs $1.35
Cumulative return: $1 invested in new picks vs universe
1.00 20240331: universe 1.02220240630: universe 1.11520240930: universe 1.10620241231: universe 1.03220250331: universe 1.12520250630: universe 1.16020250930: universe 1.30520251231: universe 1.350 20240331: follow 1.15420240630: follow 1.18020240930: follow 1.34820241231: follow 1.28620250331: follow 1.41120250630: follow 1.52120250930: follow 1.86120251231: follow 2.378 0.92 1.74 2.57 20242025 Follow Universe

Quarterly compounding, invested quarters only · entry 47 days after quarter-end (when 13F data becomes public)

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

Top 20 holdings of 70 · 2026 Q1

Ticker Value Weight QoQ
EEM $117M
13.4%
ADD
EFA $101M
11.5%
ADD
HOL $91M
10.4%
ADD
EA $69M
7.8%
TRIM
PBR/A $59M
6.7%
NEW
AAUC $51M
5.9%
NEW
EWZ $36M
4.1%
ADD
EWC $30M
3.4%
NEW
EWA $27M
3.1%
NEW
PAM $25M
2.9%
ADD
EMLC $22M
2.5%
NEW
WBS $21M
2.4%
NEW
APLS $18M
2.1%
NEW
MELI $17M
1.9%
NEW
CWAN $17M
1.9%
NEW
KVUE $16M
1.8%
NEW
UNF $15M
1.7%
NEW
NU $14M
1.6%
ADD
TERN $12M
1.4%
NEW
PAGS $12M
1.4%
ADD

QoQ vs previous quarter's share count · NEW = new position · ADD/TRIM = ±2% shares · HOLD = unchanged.

Listed as facts. See the verdict above before treating this as signal.

New positions in 2026 Q1

Method & Limitations

Method: a "new position" = held this quarter, absent last quarter (options excluded; stocks with <50 prior holders excluded to filter spin-off artifacts). Entry 47 days after quarter-end — the first day the public could act on the filing. Benchmark = equal-weighted universe of all 13F-held stocks. Limitations: quarterly snapshots can't see intra-quarter trades; survivorship bias — funds that shut down are absent, which flatters the sample. Statistics, not advice.